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When will IPv6 start filtering down to the organizational and home users for use?

When will IPv6 start filtering down to the organizational and home users for use? Any guesses?
Well I am not clairvoyant, I wish I could tell. There are Gartner Group estimates made in 2002 that predicted that by the year 2005 approximately 50 % of the ISP's would offer commercial IPv6 services. Now in June 2003 the Department of Defense (DoD) of the United States has announced to migrate its network to IPv6 by 2008 and that starting October 2003 they will only buy hard- and software that supports IPv6. All I can say is that this will drastically accelerate the whole market. For organizations it is very important that they start to consider IPv6 in their investments. All organizations should do what the DoD does, put IPv6 support down as a requirement when buying hard- or software. This way an easy transition will be possible and hard- and software can be updated as part of the regular maintenance scenarios and life cycles. For home users it largely depends on readiness of their ISPs. In Europe I know that many ISP's are sort of ready but don't announce it publicly yet. Another market that could take off quickly is the gaming and mobile device market.
This was last published in September 2003

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